What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

Unintended Consequences, Unnecessary Blunders, and the Urgency of Avoiding Tomorrow's Mistakes

Published by Prometheus
Distributed by Simon & Schuster

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About the Book

We make decisions with the best of intentions—yet time and again, those decisions lead to disaster.

From government policies that spark unintended crises to innovations that unleash environmental ruin, What Could Possibly Go Wrongexplores the surprising and often devastating ripple effects of well-meaning choices. With gripping case studies spanning politics, business, medicine, military strategy, ecology, and more, this book reveals how history has been shaped not just by what we aimed to do, but by what we failed to foresee.

What drives these failures? Drawing on psychology, complexity theory, and systems thinking, this compelling and accessible book uncovers the cognitive biases, emotional drivers, and systemic blind spots that consistently derail even the most thoughtful plans.

You’ll discover:

How short-term thinking and overconfidence have backfired throughout history

Why complex systems—from ecosystems to global markets—often defy prediction

How psychological traps like revenge, hubris, and wishful thinking distort decision-making

What we can learn from past blunders to navigate present-day challenges like AI, gene editing, and nuclear weapons

Perfect for readers of Thinking, Fast and Slow, The Black Swan, or Freakonomics, this timely book offers both a riveting exploration of human error and a vital roadmap for more mindful, responsible decision-making in a high-stakes world.

In an age of accelerating change and escalating consequences, understanding why good decisions go bad may be the most important decision we can make.

About the Author

Product Details

  • Publisher: Prometheus (June 15, 2027)
  • Length: 264 pages
  • ISBN13: 9781493097166

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Raves and Reviews

“Brilliantly researched and compellingly written, WhatCouldPossibly Go Wrong? is an essential guide to understanding why so many well-intentioned policies, technologies, and interventions fail. Andrew Lam masterfully connects history, psychology, medicine, economics, and geopolitics into a deeply original framework for thinking about risk, leadership, and unintended consequences in the modern world.”

– General Stanley McChrystal (Ret.), Former Commander of U.S. and NATO Forces in Afghanistan and New York Times best-selling author of Team of Teams

"A brilliant and unsettling tour of humanity's worst self-inflicted wounds — and a practical guide to avoiding the next ones. Dr. Andrew Lam has written the kind of book that every policymaker, commander, and citizen should read before making any decision of consequence."

– Admiral James Stavridis, USN (Ret.) former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO and New York Times bestselling author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War

“Andrew Lam’s What Could Possibly Go Wrong? asks why our most careful decisions so often produce the outcomes we try hardest to avoid. Ranging across medicine, architecture, physics, and policymaking, Lam identifies the strange, recurring patterns of failure that connect them, and offers a rare guide for thinking clearly about a world that refuses to behave.”

– Adam Alter, Ph.D., Professor of Marketing and Psychology, NYU Stern School of Business and New York Times bestselling author of Irresistible and Anatomy of a Breakthrough

“Andrew Lam asks What Could Possibly Go Wrong? His answer: PRETTY MUCH EVERYTHING!  With vivid, detailed examples from many areas of life, Lam describes the countless losses of life and money that could have been avoided if only human beings were a little less myopic, a little less greedy, and a lot more humble. This is a crucial book for those anticipating how AI will change our lives. I hope that both the creators and the regulators read it."

– Barry Schwartz is the author of The Paradox of Choice, and the co-author of Choose Wisely, among other books.

"What Could Possibly Go Wrong? is an engaging and thought-provoking guide to hidden risks in well-intentioned decisions. Drawing on vivid cases across medicine, business, public policy, and technology, Andrew Lam shows why intellectual humility, curiosity, and a willingness to question our assumptions are essential to avoiding preventable harm. This is an important, timely book for anyone charged with making consequential choices in an increasingly complex world."

– Amy C. Edmondson, Novartis Professor of Leadership and Management, Harvard Business School, author of Right Kind of Wrong: The Science of Failing Well

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